The month long tease-job known as spring training has finally ended and baseball is finally back. This is the NL section of the two-part preview with Part 2 coming tomorrow.
NL EAST
1. Mets
The Mets acquired the best pitcher in baseball in Johan Santana and they now have three 15 game winners in the starting rotation as John Maine and Oliver Perez join Santana in that distinction. The back end of the rotation will feature two of the best pitchers in baseball in the late 90’s as Pedro Martinez and Orlando Hernandez could be really good or really bad….. The lineup is one of the best in the national league with speed demons Jose Reyes and Luis Castillo batting 1-2 in the order, both having capabilities to hit .300 and steal 50 bases. The speed-power combo of David Wright and Carlos Beltran is intimidating for opposing pitchers, while Carlos Delgado will carry a heavy load trying to bounce back from an off year…..The bullpen is strong with “The Side-armer from Hell” Joe Smith and lefty Pedro Feliciano working the late innings with Aaron Heilman in long relief. Billy Wagner is an insurance policy in the late innings as he’s almost guaranteed to have 40+ saves.
2. Phillies
The rotation is a bit “iffy” but nonetheless very diverse and capable of being productive. Young stud Cole Hamels has the best changeup in baseball and will be the ace of the staff, while Kyle Kendrick, who despite ranking last in the big leagues in strikeouts compared to the innings he pitched, is a capable 10-12 game winner. Brett Myers returns to the rotation after being the closer last year, while 86 year old Jamie Moyer and Adam Eaton, who has been bit by the injury bug often in years past, round out the rotation…. The lineup is possibly the best in the NL, with both Chase Utley and Ryan Howard, two of the best offensively at their respective positions. Newly signed Pedro Feliz brings 20 homer, 80 RBI production while young Shane Victorino will have to step up for the loss of Aaron Rowand. Pat Burrell doesn’t suck and is a 25 homer, 90 RBI guy…. The bullpen has a great lefty, righty combination in the setup role as both JC Romero, who was unhittable last season, and Tom (no longer) Flash Gordon leading up to newly acquired closer Brad Lidge. The middle relief core of Clay Condrey, Geoff Geary and co. is average at best, but the talent in the late innings makes up for it
3. Braves
The top two in the rotation, John Smoltz and Tim Hudson are always predicted to have 15 wins and an ERA under 3, and while they might not always match those numbers, they still carry the weight of the rotation on their shoulders. Mike Hampton returns after two years on the DL, while fellow lefty Tom Glavine returns to Atlanta after a brief stint with the Mets. Third lefty Chuck James and Jair Jurjjens are the main candidates for the 5th spot…..The lineup, like that of the Phillies and Mets, is one of the NL’s best. Youngsters Yunel Escobar and Kelly Johnson both flirted with .300 at one point or another last season, and Jeff Francoeur and Brian McCann look to bounce back from off years. Chipper Jones and Mark Teixeira will carry the load, while Matt Diaz and Mark Kotsay look to make up for the loss of Andruw Jones…..The bullpen is a question mark in itself, after Ron Mahay and Octavio Dotel left in the offseason, and closer Bob Wickman was released. Mike Gonzalez will be the setup man after being injured for most of the year after a horrid start. Unproven Rafael Soriano will close and young stud Peter Moylan will look to stay on last year’s pace, when he had a 1.92 ERA and was dominant in the late innings.
4. Nationals
The Nationals released last year’s opening day starter, John Patterson, and have 6 young arms and 2 veterans fighting for 5 spots. The most likely rotation will feature young guns Matt Chico, Jason Bergmann, John Lannan, and Shawn Hill along with veteran signee Odalis Perez. Mike Bacsik could also spot start at times….. The offense improved in the offseason after ranking last in the league in runs scored. The biggest area improved was the outfield, which added young, but troublesome stars Lastings Milledge and Elijah Dukes, and features power hitters Wily Mo Pena and Austin Kearns. Dmitri Young, who hit .333 last year, will surprisingly back up Nick Johnson, who is coming off a leg injury, but can hit for power. Ryan Zimmerman is still the club’s best and most consistent hitter, while the middle infield of Felipe Lopez and Ron Belliard is below average….. The bullpen was last season’s bright spot and can be this year’s as well. Saul Rivera, Jon Rauch, and Jesus Colome were all outstanding in middle relief as all three had ERAs under or around 4. Chad Cordero is still one of the league’s best closers and will be a featured part of the pen this season.
5. Marlins
This young rotation got even younger after Dontrelle Willis was traded and is one of the bottom three in the league. Youngsters Josh Johnson, Scott Olsen, and Anibal Sanchez all had terrific ‘06 campaigns, but seemingly lost it last season. 2nd year lefty Andrew Miller, acquired in the Willis-Cabrera deal, and journeyman Mark Hendrickson, who will start opening day, round out the rotation……This lineup, even after the loss of Miguel Cabrera, is one of the best young and powerful groups in the NL. The middle infield and heart of the order pair of Dan Uggla and Hanley Ramirez can both put up monster numbers, while outfielders Josh Willingham and Jeremy Hermida are very talented in the middle of the lineup. Mike Jacobs can hit for power, but hits for a low average….. The ‘pen is better than you would think, after Kevin Gregg posted 32 saves last season and looks like he could repeat this year. Taylor Tankersley moves into the setup role and Lee Gardener and Henry Owens will man the middle relief duties.
NL CENTRAL
1. Cubs
The rotation is basically the same from last year and that could be a good thing. Carlos Zambrano is coming off a 18 win season and will look to do the same in his contract year. Lefties Ted Lilly and Rich Hill follow Zambrano in the rotation with impressive track records and Jason Marquis and ex-closer Ryan Dempster round it out, although Sean Marshall could also spot start…… The lineup is top notch and adds Japanese slugger Kosuke Fukudome to the mix that includes power hitters Alfonso Soriano, Derek Lee, and chicken fighter Aramis Ramirez. Top prospect Geovany Soto will get his first full season of duty behind the plate after an impressive brief stay last year. Mike Fontenot and Mark DeRosa are average at best in the middle infield…..This bullpen got much better and will be even better if Kerry Wood returns to his old form. Setup men Carlos Marmol and Bob Howry could both be closers themself, as they both feature nasty stuff. Lefty Will Ohman and Michael Wuertz will lead the middle relief corps.
2. Brewers
The rotation will be better than last year’s if Ben Sheets stays healthy for the entire season to avoid a collapse like last year’s. Jeff Suppan was up and down and could be more of the same, while the Brewers hope that Dave Bush and Claudio Vargas repeat last year’s surprise seasons and Yovanni Gallardo is as good as advertised…. This is yet another upper echelon lineup that features possible 50 homer guys in uber prospect Ryan Braun and newly turned vegetarian Prince Fielder. If JJ Hardy is anywhere close to last years production, thats a plus and if Rickie Weeks finally shows his potential, that’s another plus. Mike Cameron and Bill Hall add even more power to the mix…. The bullpen underwent an extreme makeover after Francisco Cordero left for divisional rival Cincinatti, as David Riske, Guillermo Mota and new closer Eric Gagne all signed on. Derrick Turnbow is expected to serve in the set up role along with Riske and Mota.
3. Reds
Aaron Harang is a stud and would be noticed more if the rest of his staff was better. Harang leads the rotation and Bronson Arroyo, who had a great ‘06 but awful ‘07 follows him. Josh Fogg was signed after a good season in Colorado and young flamethrowers Edinson Volquez, Johnny Cueto and Homer Bailey will all see starts during the course of the season…. The Reds lineup is always at the top of the league in homeruns and if young stars Joey Votto and Jay Bruce stay in the lineup, the trend will continue. Adam Dunn guarantees you at least 35 homeruns, and Ken Griffey adds another 30 in the middle of the order. Brandon Philips is a 30-30 guy and Jeff Keppinger and Norris Hopper should see extended roles this year….. Francisco Cordero came over from Milwaukee after three straight 35+ save seasons with Milwaukee and Texas. That means last year’s closer, David Weathers will set up and Jon Coutlangus and Todd Coffey will pitch in the 6th and 7th innings.
4. Cardinals
Adam Wainwright is the top returning starter and another quality year from him is needed. Joel Pineiro will see a full season in St. Louis, as will recently signed Kyle Lohse and Matt Clement. The main question is whether or not Chris Carpenter and Mark Mulder can rebound to their previous form before their injuries….. Any lineup with Albert Pujols should feel lucky, especially this one. Troy Glaus will protect Pujols after another 20 homer season. The outfield is young and has potential as top prospect Colby Rasmus replaces Jim Edmonds and joins Chris Duncan and Rick Ankiel. The middle infield is weak as Adam Kennedy and Cesar Izturis are basically utility players in starting roles….. The bullpen is better than you’d think, with Ryan Franklin and Russ Springer/Randy Flores making for a pretty group of late inning guys leading up to Jason Isringhausen.
5. Astros
The rotation after Roy Oswalt is lacking, well, awful and you can’t count on Oswalt to carry the team himself. Wandy Rodriguez, Shawn Chacon, Chris Sampson and Brandon Backe isn’t exactly the greatest bunch and it should be a long season for the other 4 pitchers in this rotation…. The offense is actually pretty good, as a full season of JR Towles and a relatively productive Miguel Tejada makes all the difference. Lance Berkman and Carlos Lee is a scary combination in the middle of the order and Hunter Pence and Ty Wigginton add more power and offense after that. Kaz Matsui and Michael Bourn, both new additions make this offense quicker on the basepaths and possibly allows them to score more runs…… The bullpen has Jose Valverde in the closer’s role, and Valverde is very impressive. But the guys in front of him, not so much. Doug Brocail was with Oscar Villareal to shore up the setup duties, but it may not make a difference.
6. Pirates
Nothing to ride home about. The Pirates are awful and will endure their 16th straight losing season. Jason Bay, okay, but that’s about it.
NL WEST
1. Rockies
Why not a repeat? The rotation will return its young guns from last year, including some for the entire year and they have Jeff Francis. And that lineup is scary, with Tulowitzki, Hawpe, Atkins, Helton, and Holliday all capable of 100 RBI seasons. And that Corpas kid can pitch in the closer’s role.
2. D’Backs
All they need is Dan Haren and Brandon Webb, but they also have a young talent pool of players in their lineup including 30-30 guy Chris Young, 14 year (okay, 19) old Justin Upton and Conor Jackson, Mark Reynolds and O-Dawg. The Valverde loss hurts, but Brandon Lyon is capable.
3. Dodgers
Joe Torre will have a good first year, but not a playoff season in the NL West. The lineup is stacked with super prospects James Loney, Matt Kemp, Andre Ethier and all star catcher Russell Martin. Other than that it’s a bunch of vets. The rotation has Brad Penny and Derek Lowe, but no one knows how Hiroki Kuroda and Jason Schmidt will look.
4. Padres
Sure they have Jake Peavy and Chris Young, but after Greg Maddux, the rotation is below average. The problem is the offense, because the bullpen that features Kevin Cameron, Heath Bell, and Trevor Hoffman is pretty damn good. No one scares me in this lineup other than Adrian Gonzalez.
5. Giants
Brian Sabean should already be out the door, but a last place finish insures that. Aaron Rowand was a great addition, but my question is why he picked San Fran. The lineup is old, and Bengie Molina and Randy Winn are the only others who can hold their own. The rotation is very promising with Tim Lincecum, Noah Lowry, Matt Cain, and Barry Zito, but whether or not Zito shows up is unknown.
(Had to cut short the last 6 teams, because 2,000 words later, you’re just not feeling the vibe)
NL MVP: Matt Holliday, Rockies
NL Cy Young: Johan Santana, Mets
NL Rookie of the Year: Colby Rasmus, Cardinals
NL Manager of the Year: Dusty Baker
NL Wild Card: Diamondbacks
NL Champion: Mets